Will California Go Red In 2024 Predictions. A closer look at the election maps for the golden state show that trump appeared to flip multiple counties in 2024 that joe biden had carried for democrats in the 2020 election. 538’s forecast is based on a combination of polls and.

Our model currently predicts that kamala harris has a >99% chance of winning california. Given california’s historical voting trends, the strong performance of democratic candidates in the primaries, and the state’s overall political leanings, it is highly likely that kamala harris, the democratic nominee, will win the state’s 54 electoral votes in the 2024 presidential.