Election Probability 2024
Election Probability 2024. No polling is available yet in some less. Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with fundamental factors like incumbency and each.
Our prediction model calculates kamala harris’s and donald trump’s probabilities of winning each individual state and the election overall The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for harris or trump, deepening as the market likelihood of winning increases:
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